Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 4.072038 4.362954 4.674257 5.033864 5.439985 5.887018 6.419901
2025-08-17 3.529771 3.918812 4.360353 4.904824 5.567151 6.359051 7.397306
2025-08-24 3.216278 3.654268 4.171144 4.837898 5.693676 6.783249 8.326080
2025-08-31 3.038546 3.517674 4.101547 4.884070 5.936883 7.356725 9.522381
2025-09-07 2.884068 3.389141 4.020791 4.894548 6.118289 7.854890 10.693417
2025-09-14 2.689163 3.191909 3.831758 4.736350 6.039663 7.958912 11.264795
2025-09-21 2.544656 3.048313 3.699797 4.639879 6.031547 8.156699 12.017800
2025-09-28 2.434475 2.941666 3.607862 4.588243 6.078534 8.438598 12.970969
2025-10-05 2.353571 2.868366 3.554963 4.585614 6.195604 8.844953 14.252042
2025-10-12 2.308364 2.839775 3.560577 4.666860 6.449578 9.518240 16.267076
2025-10-19 2.262129 2.806549 3.556389 4.731049 6.680175 10.184956 18.503563
2025-10-26 2.200135 2.747889 3.511530 4.727629 6.794341 10.649153 20.433795
2025-11-02 2.115303 2.655594 3.415967 4.642585 6.767251 10.850093 21.821252
2025-11-09 2.028221 2.556971 3.306852 4.529460 6.681033 10.921459 22.901465
2025-11-16 1.962028 2.485445 3.234368 4.470547 6.686858 11.188876 24.723679
2025-11-23 1.926255 2.456044 3.223260 4.511215 6.880958 11.906668 28.495366
2025-11-30 1.885183 2.416985 3.195064 4.520440 7.015064 12.515099 32.368845
2025-12-07 1.811158 2.326789 3.084069 4.381008 6.842975 12.351996 32.958793
2025-12-14 1.754156 2.259996 3.006867 4.295813 6.772484 12.434121 34.762532
2025-12-21 1.709714 2.210328 2.954265 4.250159 6.777545 12.711120 37.776541
2025-12-28 1.677527 2.177859 2.927279 4.247833 6.871682 13.244489 42.772667
2026-01-04 1.663219 2.171657 2.941481 4.319653 7.130123 14.297303 52.638021
2026-01-11 1.646259 2.160704 2.947334 4.376330 7.362398 15.345519 65.149851